AllForecasts
Screening

Insights

What actually moves together, across 217 countries — the real first pass at the "hidden relationship" engine from the method. Built for the same four users the whole site is: a government sizing up policy trade-offs, a business scouting a market, a city planner, or a person deciding where to move — a starting point for what's worth digging into, not a finished answer.

What this is: a cross-sectional screen — do two indicators move together across countries right now. A hypothesis-generation step, not a forecast.

What this isn't (yet): not the lag-correlation / Granger causality method the site's actual predictions use — that needs historical time series per country, the next slice of this engine. Some pairs are correlated by definition (GDP and GNI per capita measure almost the same thing), not by discovery.

What's still missing: the "unusual" alternative data (satellite night-lights, shipping traffic, arms trade, conflict data) from the original vision needs paid/complex API access this build doesn't have yet. Everything below is public World Bank data, plus one AllForecasts trend projection.

Strongest cross-category relationships

Armed forces personnelPopulation
+0.87

Population size and defence spending move together — larger countries generally field larger militaries in absolute terms.

Government174 countries · defence × demographic
Adult literacy rateInfant mortality rate
-0.77

Literacy and health outcomes reinforce each other — useful for governments and NGOs deciding where a health campaign will land hardest.

Government163 countries · education × health
PopulationTotal reserves (incl. gold)
+0.71

Population size tracks with this economic measure — relevant to sovereign risk assessment and to a business sizing up a market.

GovernmentBusiness182 countries · demographic × economic
Adult literacy rateLife expectancy at birth
+0.69

Literacy and health outcomes reinforce each other — useful for governments and NGOs deciding where a health campaign will land hardest.

Government170 countries · education × health
GNI per capita (Atlas method)Life expectancy at birth
+0.69

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness207 countries · economic × health
Armed forces personnelTotal reserves (incl. gold)
+0.67

Military spending scales with economic capacity — a benchmark for governments comparing defence budgets to peers, and a signal for defence-adjacent businesses.

GovernmentBusiness165 countries · defence × economic
GDP per capita (current US$)Life expectancy at birth
+0.61

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness214 countries · economic × health
Adult literacy ratePhysicians
+0.59

Literacy and health outcomes reinforce each other — useful for governments and NGOs deciding where a health campaign will land hardest.

Government170 countries · education × health
GNI per capita (Atlas method)Infant mortality rate
-0.55

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness193 countries · economic × health
GDP per capita (current US$)Physicians
+0.53

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness207 countries · economic × health
GNI per capita (Atlas method)Physicians
+0.51

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness201 countries · economic × health
GDP per capita (current US$)Infant mortality rate
-0.46

Richer countries tend to have better health outcomes here — a quick gut-check for anyone comparing where to live, invest, or expand.

GovernmentPerson movingBusiness194 countries · economic × health

171 pairs screened in total (109 cross-category). r ranges from -1 (perfectly opposite) to +1 (perfectly together); anything under ~0.3 in either direction is weak.

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